Los Angeles Dodgers First-Place Clinch Scenario

Los Angeles's traditional magic number (relative to second-place San Diego) is 52 + 66 - 58 + 1 = 61.
Los Angeles's first-place clinch number is 60.
Los Angeles must win 60 more games (118 total) to clinch first place.

If Los Angeles wins 60 more games, their final win total will be at least 118.
The table below shows the best case scenario for each of the other teams if Los Angeles wins 60 of their remaining 65 games and loses the other 5.
For each team, the table shows the current record (number of wins (W) and losses (L)) and the number of games that team has
left to play (GL) in the regular season. Taking the schedule of games left to play into account, the 'Losses to Los Angeles' column gives the
minimum number of games that each team will lose to Los Angeles if Los Angeles wins 60 more games. Assuming that a team wins all of its remaining games except for
the games it loses to LADodgers, the resulting maximum number of wins is shown in the 'Maximum W' column.

Team             W	L	GL	Losses to Los Angeles	Maximum W
San Diego        52	44	66	       6 - 5 = 1	117
San Francisco    52	45	65	       7 - 5 = 2	115
Arizona          47	50	65	       6 - 5 = 1	111
Colorado         22	74	66	       7 - 5 = 2	86

The table above shows that if Los Angeles wins 60 more games (118 total), then they will finish the season in first place in the division.

To see that Los Angeles's first-place clinch number cannot be less than 60, consider the following scenario in which Los Angeles wins 59 more games (117 total) but does not finish in first place:

Team             W	L	PCT	GB
San Diego        117	45	0.722	0.00
Los Angeles      117	45	0.722	0.00
San Francisco    82	80	0.506	35.00
Arizona          80	82	0.494	37.00
Colorado         61	101	0.377	56.00

Tie breakers
San Diego wins the season series with Los Angeles 7 games to 6.

To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division:
Team             W	L	GL	PCT	GB
Los Angeles      58	39	65	0.598	0.0
San Diego        52	44	66	0.542	5.5
San Francisco    52	45	65	0.536	6.0
Arizona          47	50	65	0.485	11.0
Colorado         22	74	66	0.229	35.5

Next, we show how the remaining series of games in the division play out in the scenario:


Arizona currently has 4 wins against Colorado and 2 losses.
  Arizona wins 3 additional games against Colorado and loses 4.
  Arizona wins the series 7 games to 6

Arizona currently has 4 wins against San Francisco and 3 losses.
  Arizona wins 3 additional games against San Francisco and loses 3.
  Arizona wins the series 7 games to 6

Los Angeles currently has 4 wins against Arizona and 3 losses.
  Los Angeles wins 6 additional games against Arizona and loses 0.
  Los Angeles wins the series 10 games to 3

Los Angeles currently has 6 wins against Colorado and 0 losses.
  Los Angeles wins 7 additional games against Colorado and loses 0.
  Los Angeles wins the series 13 games to 0

Los Angeles currently has 4 wins against San Francisco and 2 losses.
  Los Angeles wins 7 additional games against San Francisco and loses 0.
  Los Angeles wins the series 11 games to 2

San Diego currently has 3 wins against Arizona and 4 losses.
  San Diego wins 6 additional games against Arizona and loses 0.
  San Diego wins the series 9 games to 4

San Diego currently has 5 wins against Colorado and 1 losses.
  San Diego wins 7 additional games against Colorado and loses 0.
  San Diego wins the series 12 games to 1

San Diego currently has 2 wins against Los Angeles and 5 losses.
  San Diego wins 5 additional games against Los Angeles and loses 1.
  San Diego wins the series 7 games to 6

San Diego currently has 4 wins against San Francisco and 2 losses.
  San Diego wins 7 additional games against San Francisco and loses 0.
  San Diego wins the series 11 games to 2

San Francisco currently has 5 wins against Colorado and 2 losses.
  San Francisco wins 6 additional games against Colorado and loses 0.
  San Francisco wins the series 11 games to 2

Arizona wins 27 games agains teams outside the division and loses 13.
Colorado wins 35 games agains teams outside the division and loses 4.
Los Angeles wins 38 games agains teams outside the division and loses 1.
San Diego wins 40 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0.
San Francisco wins 21 games agains teams outside the division and loses 18.

Combining the current standings with the wins and losses from the scenario results in the final standings listed above.
# Los Angeles Dodgers' magic number
# Los Angeles's magic number
# Dodgers' magic number
# MLB Playoff Race