LADodgers Dodgers First-Place Clinch Scenario

LADodgers's traditional magic number (relative to second-place Arizona) is 45 + 72 - 60 + 1 = 58.
LADodgers's first-place clinch number is also 58.
LADodgers must win 58 more games (118 total) to clinch first place.

If LADodgers wins 58 more games, their final win total will be at least 118.
The table below shows the best case scenario for each of the other teams if LADodgers wins 58 of their remaining 70 games and loses the other 12.
For each team, the table shows the current record (number of wins (W) and losses (L)) and the number of games that team has
left to play (GL) in the regular season. Taking the schedule of games left to play into account, the 'Losses to LADodgers' column gives the
minimum number of games that each team will lose to LADodgers if LADodgers wins 58 more games. Assuming that a team wins all of its remaining games except for
the games it loses to LADodgers, the resulting maximum number of wins is shown in the 'Maximum W' column.

Team             W	L	GL	Losses to LADodgers	Maximum W
Arizona          45	45	72	               0	117
SanDiego         44	46	72	               0	116
SanFrancisco     38	52	72	               0	110
Colorado         37	55	70	               0	107

The table above shows that if LADodgers wins 58 more games (118 total), then they will finish the season in first place in the division.

To see that LADodgers's first-place clinch number cannot be less than 58, consider the following scenario in which LADodgers wins 57 more games (117 total) but does not finish in first place:

Team             W	L	PCT	GB
Arizona          117	45	0.722	0.00
LADodgers        117	45	0.722	0.00
Colorado         66	96	0.407	51.00
SanDiego         54	108	0.333	63.00
SanFrancisco     44	118	0.272	73.00

Tie breakers
Arizona wins the season series with LADodgers 8 games to 5.

To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division:
Team             W	L	GL	PCT	GB
LADodgers        60	32	70	0.652	0.0
Arizona          45	45	72	0.500	14.0
SanDiego         44	46	72	0.489	15.0
SanFrancisco     38	52	72	0.422	21.0
Colorado         37	55	70	0.402	23.0

Next, we show how the remaining series of games in the division play out in the scenario:


Arizona currently has 5 wins against Colorado and 2 losses.
  Arizona wins 6 additional games against Colorado and loses 0.
  Arizona wins the series 11 games to 2

Arizona currently has 2 wins against LADodgers and 5 losses.
  Arizona wins 6 additional games against LADodgers and loses 0.
  Arizona wins the series 8 games to 5

Arizona currently has 2 wins against SanDiego and 1 losses.
  Arizona wins 10 additional games against SanDiego and loses 0.
  Arizona wins the series 12 games to 1

Arizona currently has 8 wins against SanFrancisco and 1 losses.
  Arizona wins 4 additional games against SanFrancisco and loses 0.
  Arizona wins the series 12 games to 1

Colorado currently has 1 wins against SanDiego and 6 losses.
  Colorado wins 6 additional games against SanDiego and loses 0.
  Colorado wins the series 7 games to 6

Colorado currently has 4 wins against SanFrancisco and 2 losses.
  Colorado wins 7 additional games against SanFrancisco and loses 0.
  Colorado wins the series 11 games to 2

LADodgers currently has 6 wins against Colorado and 2 losses.
  LADodgers wins 5 additional games against Colorado and loses 0.
  LADodgers wins the series 11 games to 2

LADodgers currently has 7 wins against SanDiego and 3 losses.
  LADodgers wins 3 additional games against SanDiego and loses 0.
  LADodgers wins the series 10 games to 3

LADodgers currently has 3 wins against SanFrancisco and 4 losses.
  LADodgers wins 6 additional games against SanFrancisco and loses 0.
  LADodgers wins the series 9 games to 4

SanDiego currently has 3 wins against SanFrancisco and 3 losses.
  SanDiego wins 7 additional games against SanFrancisco and loses 0.
  SanDiego wins the series 10 games to 3

Arizona wins 46 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0.
Colorado wins 16 games agains teams outside the division and loses 30.
LADodgers wins 43 games agains teams outside the division and loses 7.
SanDiego wins 3 games agains teams outside the division and loses 43.
SanFrancisco wins 6 games agains teams outside the division and loses 42.

Combining the current standings with the wins and losses from the scenario results in the final standings listed above.
# LADodgers Dodgers' magic number
# LADodgers's magic number
# Dodgers' magic number
# MLB Playoff Race