Milwaukee Brewers First-Place Clinch Scenario

Milwaukee's traditional magic number (relative to second-place ChicagoCubs) is 52 + 69 - 59 + 1 = 63.
Milwaukee's first-place clinch number is also 63.
Milwaukee must win 63 more games (122 total) to clinch first place.

If Milwaukee wins 63 more games, their final win total will be at least 122.
The table below shows the best case scenario for each of the other teams if Milwaukee wins 63 of their remaining 69 games and loses the other 6.
For each team, the table shows the current record (number of wins (W) and losses (L)) and the number of games that team has
left to play (GL) in the regular season. Taking the schedule of games left to play into account, the 'Losses to Milwaukee' column gives the
minimum number of games that each team will lose to Milwaukee if Milwaukee wins 63 more games. Assuming that a team wins all of its remaining games except for
the games it loses to Milwaukee, the resulting maximum number of wins is shown in the 'Maximum W' column.

Team             W	L	GL	Losses to Milwaukee	Maximum W
ChicagoCubs      52	41	69	       7 - 6 = 1	120
StLouis          48	44	70	               0	118
Cincinnati       42	50	70	               0	112
Pittsburgh       47	47	68	      10 - 6 = 4	111

The table above shows that if Milwaukee wins 63 more games (122 total), then they will finish the season in first place in the division.

To see that Milwaukee's first-place clinch number cannot be less than 63, consider the following scenario in which Milwaukee wins 62 more games (121 total) but does not finish in first place:

Team             W	L	PCT	GB
ChicagoCubs      121	41	0.747	0.00
Milwaukee        121	41	0.747	0.00
Cincinnati       79	83	0.488	42.00
Pittsburgh       59	103	0.364	62.00
StLouis          51	111	0.315	70.00

Tie breakers
ChicagoCubs wins the season series with Milwaukee 9 games to 4.

To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division:
Team             W	L	GL	PCT	GB
Milwaukee        59	34	69	0.634	0.0
ChicagoCubs      52	41	69	0.559	7.0
StLouis          48	44	70	0.522	10.5
Pittsburgh       47	47	68	0.500	12.5
Cincinnati       42	50	70	0.457	16.5

Next, we show how the remaining series of games in the division play out in the scenario:


ChicagoCubs currently has 4 wins against Cincinnati and 0 losses.
  ChicagoCubs wins 9 additional games against Cincinnati and loses 0.
  ChicagoCubs wins the series 13 games to 0

ChicagoCubs currently has 2 wins against Milwaukee and 4 losses.
  ChicagoCubs wins 7 additional games against Milwaukee and loses 0.
  ChicagoCubs wins the series 9 games to 4

ChicagoCubs currently has 3 wins against Pittsburgh and 4 losses.
  ChicagoCubs wins 6 additional games against Pittsburgh and loses 0.
  ChicagoCubs wins the series 9 games to 4

ChicagoCubs currently has 2 wins against StLouis and 4 losses.
  ChicagoCubs wins 7 additional games against StLouis and loses 0.
  ChicagoCubs wins the series 9 games to 4

Cincinnati currently has 3 wins against Pittsburgh and 6 losses.
  Cincinnati wins 4 additional games against Pittsburgh and loses 0.
  Cincinnati wins the series 7 games to 6

Cincinnati currently has 1 wins against StLouis and 4 losses.
  Cincinnati wins 8 additional games against StLouis and loses 0.
  Cincinnati wins the series 9 games to 4

Milwaukee currently has 6 wins against Cincinnati and 1 losses.
  Milwaukee wins 6 additional games against Cincinnati and loses 0.
  Milwaukee wins the series 12 games to 1

Milwaukee currently has 1 wins against Pittsburgh and 2 losses.
  Milwaukee wins 10 additional games against Pittsburgh and loses 0.
  Milwaukee wins the series 11 games to 2

Milwaukee currently has 8 wins against StLouis and 2 losses.
  Milwaukee wins 3 additional games against StLouis and loses 0.
  Milwaukee wins the series 11 games to 2

Pittsburgh currently has 2 wins against StLouis and 5 losses.
  Pittsburgh wins 6 additional games against StLouis and loses 0.
  Pittsburgh wins the series 8 games to 5

ChicagoCubs wins 40 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0.
Cincinnati wins 25 games agains teams outside the division and loses 18.
Milwaukee wins 43 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0.
Pittsburgh wins 6 games agains teams outside the division and loses 36.
StLouis wins 3 games agains teams outside the division and loses 43.

Combining the current standings with the wins and losses from the scenario results in the final standings listed above.
# Milwaukee Brewers' magic number
# Milwaukee's magic number
# Brewers' magic number
# MLB Playoff Race