Cincinnati Reds First-Place Clinch Scenario

Cincinnati does not have a first-place clinch number

Here is a scenario in which Cincinnati wins all 60 of their remaining games (109 total) but does not but does not clinch first place.

Team             W	L	PCT	GB
Milwaukee        110	52	0.679	0.00
Cincinnati       109	53	0.673	1.00
Pittsburgh       75	87	0.463	35.00
Chicago          74	88	0.457	36.00
St. Louis        73	89	0.451	37.00

To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division:
Team             W	L	GL	PCT	GB
Milwaukee        59	43	60	0.578	0.0
St. Louis        53	49	60	0.520	6.0
Pittsburgh       52	50	60	0.510	7.0
Cincinnati       49	53	60	0.480	10.0
Chicago          49	55	58	0.471	11.0

Next, we show how the remaining series of games in the division play out in the scenario:

Milwaukee has won the season series with Chicago 8 games to 5.

Cincinnati currently has 5 wins against Chicago and 2 losses.
  Cincinnati wins 6 additional games against Chicago and loses 0.
  Cincinnati wins the series 11 games to 2

Cincinnati currently has 2 wins against Milwaukee and 4 losses.
  Cincinnati wins 7 additional games against Milwaukee and loses 0.
  Cincinnati wins the series 9 games to 4

Cincinnati currently has 2 wins against Pittsburgh and 4 losses.
  Cincinnati wins 7 additional games against Pittsburgh and loses 0.
  Cincinnati wins the series 9 games to 4

Cincinnati currently has 3 wins against St. Louis and 4 losses.
  Cincinnati wins 6 additional games against St. Louis and loses 0.
  Cincinnati wins the series 9 games to 4

Milwaukee currently has 6 wins against St. Louis and 1 losses.
  Milwaukee wins 6 additional games against St. Louis and loses 0.
  Milwaukee wins the series 12 games to 1

Pittsburgh currently has 4 wins against Chicago and 3 losses.
  Pittsburgh wins 3 additional games against Chicago and loses 3.
  Pittsburgh wins the series 7 games to 6

Pittsburgh currently has 5 wins against Milwaukee and 5 losses.
  Pittsburgh wins 2 additional games against Milwaukee and loses 1.
  Pittsburgh wins the series 7 games to 6

Pittsburgh currently has 4 wins against St. Louis and 5 losses.
  Pittsburgh wins 4 additional games against St. Louis and loses 0.
  Pittsburgh wins the series 8 games to 5

St. Louis currently has 6 wins against Chicago and 3 losses.
  St. Louis wins 1 additional games against Chicago and loses 3.
  St. Louis wins the series 7 games to 6

Chicago wins 19 games agains teams outside the division and loses 23.
Cincinnati wins 34 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0.
Milwaukee wins 44 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0.
Pittsburgh wins 14 games agains teams outside the division and loses 26.
St. Louis wins 19 games agains teams outside the division and loses 21.

Combining the current standings with the wins and losses from the scenario results in the final standings listed above.
# Cincinnati Reds' magic number
# Cincinnati's magic number
# Reds' magic number
# MLB Playoff Race