Cincinnati Reds First-Place Clinch Scenario

Cincinnati does not have a first-place clinch number

Here is a scenario in which Cincinnati wins all 65 of their remaining games (115 total) but does not but does not clinch first place.

Team             W	L	PCT	GB
Chicago          116	46	0.716	0.00
Cincinnati       115	47	0.710	1.00
St. Louis        80	82	0.494	36.00
Pittsburgh       72	90	0.444	44.00
Milwaukee        71	91	0.438	45.00

To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division:
Team             W	L	GL	PCT	GB
Chicago          57	39	66	0.594	0.0
Milwaukee        56	40	66	0.583	1.0
St. Louis        51	46	65	0.526	6.5
Cincinnati       50	47	65	0.515	7.5
Pittsburgh       39	58	65	0.402	18.5

Next, we show how the remaining series of games in the division play out in the scenario:


Chicago currently has 3 wins against Milwaukee and 2 losses.
  Chicago wins 8 additional games against Milwaukee and loses 0.
  Chicago wins the series 11 games to 2

Chicago currently has 5 wins against Pittsburgh and 2 losses.
  Chicago wins 6 additional games against Pittsburgh and loses 0.
  Chicago wins the series 11 games to 2

Chicago currently has 4 wins against St. Louis and 3 losses.
  Chicago wins 6 additional games against St. Louis and loses 0.
  Chicago wins the series 10 games to 3

Cincinnati currently has 2 wins against Chicago and 4 losses.
  Cincinnati wins 7 additional games against Chicago and loses 0.
  Cincinnati wins the series 9 games to 4

Cincinnati currently has 2 wins against Milwaukee and 5 losses.
  Cincinnati wins 6 additional games against Milwaukee and loses 0.
  Cincinnati wins the series 8 games to 5

Cincinnati currently has 4 wins against Pittsburgh and 2 losses.
  Cincinnati wins 7 additional games against Pittsburgh and loses 0.
  Cincinnati wins the series 11 games to 2

Cincinnati currently has 3 wins against St. Louis and 4 losses.
  Cincinnati wins 6 additional games against St. Louis and loses 0.
  Cincinnati wins the series 9 games to 4

Milwaukee currently has 4 wins against St. Louis and 3 losses.
  Milwaukee wins 5 additional games against St. Louis and loses 1.
  Milwaukee wins the series 9 games to 4

Pittsburgh currently has 3 wins against Milwaukee and 4 losses.
  Pittsburgh wins 6 additional games against Milwaukee and loses 0.
  Pittsburgh wins the series 9 games to 4

St. Louis currently has 4 wins against Pittsburgh and 5 losses.
  St. Louis wins 4 additional games against Pittsburgh and loses 0.
  St. Louis wins the series 8 games to 5

Chicago wins 39 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0.
Cincinnati wins 39 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0.
Milwaukee wins 10 games agains teams outside the division and loses 30.
Pittsburgh wins 27 games agains teams outside the division and loses 15.
St. Louis wins 24 games agains teams outside the division and loses 19.

Combining the current standings with the wins and losses from the scenario results in the final standings listed above.
# Cincinnati Reds' magic number
# Cincinnati's magic number
# Reds' magic number
# MLB Playoff Race