Cleveland Indians First-Place Clinch Scenario

Cleveland's traditional magic number (relative to first-place Detroit) is 85 + 11 - 79 + 1 = 18.
Cleveland's first-place clinch number is 12.
Cleveland must win 12 more games (91 total) to clinch first place.

If Cleveland wins 12 more games, their final win total will be at least 91.
The table below shows the best case scenario for each of the other teams if Cleveland wins all 12 of their remaining games.
For each team, the table shows the current record (number of wins (W) and losses (L)) and the number of games that team has
left to play (GL) in the regular season. Taking the schedule of games left to play into account, the 'Losses to Cleveland' column gives the
minimum number of games that each team will lose to Cleveland if Cleveland wins 12 more games. Assuming that a team wins all of its remaining games except for
the games it loses to Cleveland, the resulting maximum number of wins is shown in the 'Maximum W' column.

Team             W	L	GL	Losses to Cleveland	Maximum W
Detroit          85	66	11	       5 - 0 = 5	91 *See tie-breaking notes below.
Kansas City      75	76	11	               0	86
Minnesota        66	85	11	       4 - 0 = 4	73
Chicago          57	95	10	               0	67

Tie-breakers:
Cleveland has won 4 game(s) against Detroit and lost 4.
There are 5 games left in the series.
In the scenario above, Cleveland wins 4 + 5 = 9 games against Detroit and loses 4 + 0 = 4.

The table above shows that if Cleveland wins 12 more games (91 total), then they will finish the season in first place in the division.

To see that Cleveland's first-place clinch number cannot be less than 12, consider the following scenario in which Cleveland wins 11 more games (90 total) but does not finish in first place:

Team             W	L	PCT	GB
Detroit          92	70	0.568	0.00
Cleveland        90	72	0.556	2.00
Kansas City      82	80	0.506	10.00
Minnesota        69	93	0.426	23.00
Chicago          58	104	0.358	34.00

To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division:
Team             W	L	GL	PCT	GB
Detroit          85	66	11	0.563	0.0
Cleveland        79	71	12	0.527	5.5
Kansas City      75	76	11	0.497	10.0
Minnesota        66	85	11	0.437	19.0
Chicago          57	95	10	0.375	28.5

Next, we show how the remaining series of games in the division play out in the scenario:

Chicago has won the season series with Minnesota 8 games to 5.
Cleveland has won the season series with Chicago 11 games to 2.
Cleveland has won the season series with Kansas City 8 games to 5.
Detroit has won the season series with Chicago 8 games to 5.
Detroit has won the season series with Kansas City 9 games to 4.
Detroit has won the season series with Minnesota 8 games to 5.
Kansas City has won the season series with Chicago 10 games to 3.
Kansas City has won the season series with Minnesota 7 games to 6.

Cleveland currently has 4 wins against Detroit and 4 losses.
  Cleveland wins 4 additional games against Detroit and loses 1.
  Cleveland wins the series 8 games to 5

Cleveland currently has 6 wins against Minnesota and 3 losses.
  Cleveland wins 4 additional games against Minnesota and loses 0.
  Cleveland wins the series 10 games to 3

Chicago wins 1 games agains teams outside the division and loses 9.
Cleveland wins 3 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0.
Detroit wins 6 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0.
Kansas City wins 7 games agains teams outside the division and loses 4.
Minnesota wins 3 games agains teams outside the division and loses 4.

Combining the current standings with the wins and losses from the scenario results in the final standings listed above.
# Cleveland Indians' magic number
# Cleveland's magic number
# Indians' magic number
# MLB Playoff Race