Cleveland Indians First-Place Elimination Scenario
Cleveland must win 12 more games (46 total) to avoid elimination from first place.
Here are the final standings in a scenario in which Cleveland finishes in first place with 46 wins:

Team             W	L	PCT	GB
Cleveland        46	116	0.284	0.00
Minnesota        46	116	0.284	0.00
Detroit          45	117	0.278	1.00
Chicago          45	117	0.278	1.00
Kansas City      44	118	0.272	2.00

Tie breakers
Cleveland wins the series with Minnesota 8 games to 5

To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division:
Team             W	L	GL	PCT	GB
Cleveland        34	26	102	0.567	0.0
Chicago          31	27	104	0.534	2.0
Minnesota        27	32	103	0.458	6.5
Kansas City      22	36	104	0.379	11.0
Detroit          22	37	103	0.373	11.5

Next, we show how the remaining series of games plays out in the scenario:

Chicago currently has 0 win(s) against Cleveland and 0 loss(es).
Chicago wins 13 additional game(s) against Cleveland and loses 0.
Chicago wins the series 13 games to 0.
Chicago wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 65.

Chicago currently has 2 win(s) against Detroit and 0 loss(es).
Chicago wins 1 additional game(s) against Detroit and loses 10.
Chicago loses the series 3 games to 10.
Chicago wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 65.

Chicago currently has 5 win(s) against Kansas City and 2 loss(es).
Chicago wins 0 additional game(s) against Kansas City and loses 6.
Chicago loses the series 5 games to 8.
Chicago wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 65.

Chicago currently has 3 win(s) against Minnesota and 1 loss(es).
Chicago wins 0 additional game(s) against Minnesota and loses 9.
Chicago loses the series 3 games to 10.
Chicago wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 65.

Cleveland currently has 4 win(s) against Detroit and 0 loss(es).
Cleveland wins 5 additional game(s) against Detroit and loses 4.
Cleveland wins the series 9 games to 4.
Cleveland wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 64.

Cleveland currently has 4 win(s) against Kansas City and 3 loss(es).
Cleveland wins 0 additional game(s) against Kansas City and loses 6.
Cleveland loses the series 4 games to 9.
Cleveland wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 64.

Cleveland currently has 1 win(s) against Minnesota and 2 loss(es).
Cleveland wins 7 additional game(s) against Minnesota and loses 3.
Cleveland wins the series 8 games to 5.
Cleveland wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 64.

Detroit currently has 4 win(s) against Kansas City and 2 loss(es).
Detroit wins 0 additional game(s) against Kansas City and loses 7.
Detroit loses the series 4 games to 9.
Detroit wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 67.

Detroit currently has 0 win(s) against Minnesota and 4 loss(es).
Detroit wins 9 additional game(s) against Minnesota and loses 0.
Detroit wins the series 9 games to 4.
Detroit wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 67.

Kansas City currently has 2 win(s) against Minnesota and 1 loss(es).
Kansas City wins 3 additional game(s) against Minnesota and loses 7.
Kansas City loses the series 5 games to 8.
Kansas City wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 75.

# Cleveland Indians' magic number
# Cleveland's magic number
# Indians' magic number
# MLB Playoff Race