Detroit Tigers First-Place Clinch Scenario

Detroit's traditional magic number (relative to second-place Kansas City) is 47 + 65 - 59 + 1 = 54.
Detroit's first-place clinch number is 55.
Detroit must win 55 more games (114 total) to clinch first place.

If Detroit wins 55 more games, their final win total will be at least 114.
The table below shows the best case scenario for each of the other teams if Detroit wins 55 of their remaining 65 games and loses the other 10.
For each team, the table shows the current record (number of wins (W) and losses (L)) and the number of games that team has
left to play (GL) in the regular season. Taking the schedule of games left to play into account, the 'Losses to Detroit' column gives the
minimum number of games that each team will lose to Detroit if Detroit wins 55 more games. Assuming that a team wins all of its remaining games except for
the games it loses to Detroit, the resulting maximum number of wins is shown in the 'Maximum W' column.

Team             W	L	GL	Losses to Detroit	Maximum W
Cleveland        46	49	67	               0	113
Minnesota        47	49	66	               0	113
Kansas City      47	50	65	               0	112
Chicago          32	65	65	               0	97

The table above shows that if Detroit wins 55 more games (114 total), then they will finish the season in first place in the division.

To see that Detroit's first-place clinch number cannot be less than 55, consider the following scenario in which Detroit wins 54 more games (113 total) but does not finish in first place:

Team             W	L	PCT	GB
Cleveland        113	49	0.698	0.00
Detroit          113	49	0.698	0.00
Kansas City      87	75	0.537	26.00
Minnesota        86	76	0.531	27.00
Chicago          72	90	0.444	41.00

Tie breakers
Cleveland wins the season series with Detroit 9 games to 4.

To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division:
Team             W	L	GL	PCT	GB
Detroit          59	38	65	0.608	0.0
Minnesota        47	49	66	0.490	11.5
Kansas City      47	50	65	0.485	12.0
Cleveland        46	49	67	0.484	12.0
Chicago          32	65	65	0.330	27.0

Next, we show how the remaining series of games in the division play out in the scenario:


Cleveland currently has 6 wins against Chicago and 1 losses.
  Cleveland wins 6 additional games against Chicago and loses 0.
  Cleveland wins the series 12 games to 1

Cleveland currently has 3 wins against Detroit and 4 losses.
  Cleveland wins 6 additional games against Detroit and loses 0.
  Cleveland wins the series 9 games to 4

Cleveland currently has 4 wins against Kansas City and 2 losses.
  Cleveland wins 7 additional games against Kansas City and loses 0.
  Cleveland wins the series 11 games to 2

Cleveland currently has 4 wins against Minnesota and 2 losses.
  Cleveland wins 7 additional games against Minnesota and loses 0.
  Cleveland wins the series 11 games to 2

Detroit currently has 5 wins against Chicago and 2 losses.
  Detroit wins 6 additional games against Chicago and loses 0.
  Detroit wins the series 11 games to 2

Detroit currently has 5 wins against Kansas City and 2 losses.
  Detroit wins 5 additional games against Kansas City and loses 1.
  Detroit wins the series 10 games to 3

Detroit currently has 4 wins against Minnesota and 2 losses.
  Detroit wins 7 additional games against Minnesota and loses 0.
  Detroit wins the series 11 games to 2

Kansas City currently has 5 wins against Chicago and 2 losses.
  Kansas City wins 6 additional games against Chicago and loses 0.
  Kansas City wins the series 11 games to 2

Kansas City currently has 4 wins against Minnesota and 3 losses.
  Kansas City wins 5 additional games against Minnesota and loses 1.
  Kansas City wins the series 9 games to 4

Minnesota currently has 4 wins against Chicago and 2 losses.
  Minnesota wins 7 additional games against Chicago and loses 0.
  Minnesota wins the series 11 games to 2

Chicago wins 40 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0.
Cleveland wins 41 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0.
Detroit wins 36 games agains teams outside the division and loses 4.
Kansas City wins 28 games agains teams outside the division and loses 12.
Minnesota wins 31 games agains teams outside the division and loses 8.

Combining the current standings with the wins and losses from the scenario results in the final standings listed above.
# Detroit Tigers' magic number
# Detroit's magic number
# Tigers' magic number
# MLB Playoff Race