Milwaukee Brewers First-Place Elimination Scenario
Milwaukee must win 17 more games (50 total) to avoid elimination from first place.
Here are the final standings in a scenario in which Milwaukee finishes in first place with 50 wins:

Team             W	L	PCT	GB
Milwaukee        50	112	0.309	0.00
Pittsburgh       49	113	0.302	1.00
Cincinnati       49	113	0.302	1.00
Chicago          48	114	0.296	2.00
St. Louis        48	114	0.296	2.00

To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division:
Team             W	L	GL	PCT	GB
Milwaukee        33	20	109	0.623	0.0
Chicago          31	26	105	0.544	4.0
St. Louis        29	25	108	0.537	4.5
Cincinnati       29	26	107	0.527	5.0
Pittsburgh       29	28	105	0.509	6.0

Next, we show how the remaining series of games plays out in the scenario:

Chicago currently has 4 win(s) against Cincinnati and 0 loss(es).
Chicago wins 0 additional game(s) against Cincinnati and loses 9.
Chicago loses the series 4 games to 9.
Chicago wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 67.

Chicago currently has 0 win(s) against Milwaukee and 3 loss(es).
Chicago wins 8 additional game(s) against Milwaukee and loses 2.
Chicago wins the series 8 games to 5.
Chicago wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 67.

Chicago currently has 3 win(s) against Pittsburgh and 4 loss(es).
Chicago wins 0 additional game(s) against Pittsburgh and loses 6.
Chicago loses the series 3 games to 10.
Chicago wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 67.

Chicago currently has 0 win(s) against St. Louis and 0 loss(es).
Chicago wins 9 additional game(s) against St. Louis and loses 4.
Chicago wins the series 9 games to 4.
Chicago wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 67.

Cincinnati currently has 0 win(s) against Milwaukee and 0 loss(es).
Cincinnati wins 0 additional game(s) against Milwaukee and loses 13.
Cincinnati loses the series 0 games to 13.
Cincinnati wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 67.

Cincinnati currently has 1 win(s) against Pittsburgh and 5 loss(es).
Cincinnati wins 5 additional game(s) against Pittsburgh and loses 2.
Cincinnati loses the series 6 games to 7.
Cincinnati wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 67.

Cincinnati currently has 1 win(s) against St. Louis and 1 loss(es).
Cincinnati wins 6 additional game(s) against St. Louis and loses 5.
Cincinnati wins the series 7 games to 6.
Cincinnati wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 67.

Milwaukee currently has 1 win(s) against Pittsburgh and 2 loss(es).
Milwaukee wins 1 additional game(s) against Pittsburgh and loses 9.
Milwaukee loses the series 2 games to 11.
Milwaukee wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 68.

Milwaukee currently has 4 win(s) against St. Louis and 1 loss(es).
Milwaukee wins 1 additional game(s) against St. Louis and loses 7.
Milwaukee loses the series 5 games to 8.
Milwaukee wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 68.

Pittsburgh currently has 2 win(s) against St. Louis and 5 loss(es).
Pittsburgh wins 3 additional game(s) against St. Louis and loses 3.
Pittsburgh loses the series 5 games to 8.
Pittsburgh wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 76.

# Milwaukee Brewers' magic number
# Milwaukee's magic number
# Brewers' magic number
# MLB Playoff Race