Minnesota Twins First-Place Clinch Scenario Minnesota's traditional magic number (relative to first-place Cleveland) is 67 + 50 - 63 + 1 = 55. Minnesota's first-place clinch number is 49. Minnesota must win 49 more games (112 total) to clinch first place. If Minnesota wins 49 more games, their final win total will be at least 112. The table below shows the best case scenario for each of the other teams if Minnesota wins 49 of their remaining 51 games and loses the other 2. For each team, the table shows the current record (number of wins (W) and losses (L)) and the number of games that team has left to play (GL) in the regular season. Taking the schedule of games left to play into account, the 'Losses to Minnesota' column gives the minimum number of games that each team will lose to Minnesota if Minnesota wins 49 more games. Assuming that a team wins all of its remaining games except for the games it loses to Minnesota, the resulting maximum number of wins is shown in the 'Maximum W' column. Team W L GL Losses to Minnesota Maximum W Cleveland 67 45 50 8 - 2 = 6 111 Kansas City 63 51 48 6 - 2 = 4 107 Detroit 53 60 49 0 102 Chicago 27 88 47 0 74 The table above shows that if Minnesota wins 49 more games (112 total), then they will finish the season in first place in the division. To see that Minnesota's first-place clinch number cannot be less than 49, consider the following scenario in which Minnesota wins 48 more games (111 total) but does not finish in first place: Team W L PCT GB Cleveland 111 51 0.685 0.00 Minnesota 111 51 0.685 0.00 Kansas City 92 70 0.568 19.00 Detroit 80 82 0.494 31.00 Chicago 71 91 0.438 40.00 Tie breakers Cleveland wins the season series with Minnesota 7 games to 6. To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division: Team W L GL PCT GB Cleveland 67 45 50 0.598 0.0 Minnesota 63 48 51 0.568 3.5 Kansas City 63 51 48 0.553 5.0 Detroit 53 60 49 0.469 14.5 Chicago 27 88 47 0.235 41.5 Next, we show how the remaining series of games in the division play out in the scenario: Cleveland has won the season series with Detroit 7 games to 6. Kansas City has won the season series with Chicago 12 games to 1. Minnesota has won the season series with Chicago 12 games to 1. Minnesota has won the season series with Detroit 7 games to 6. Chicago currently has 1 wins against Detroit and 5 losses. Chicago wins 7 additional games against Detroit and loses 0. Chicago wins the series 8 games to 5 Cleveland currently has 5 wins against Chicago and 5 losses. Cleveland wins 3 additional games against Chicago and loses 0. Cleveland wins the series 8 games to 5 Cleveland currently has 2 wins against Kansas City and 4 losses. Cleveland wins 7 additional games against Kansas City and loses 0. Cleveland wins the series 9 games to 4 Cleveland currently has 5 wins against Minnesota and 0 losses. Cleveland wins 2 additional games against Minnesota and loses 6. Cleveland wins the series 7 games to 6 Kansas City currently has 7 wins against Detroit and 3 losses. Kansas City wins 0 additional games against Detroit and loses 3. Kansas City wins the series 7 games to 6 Minnesota currently has 5 wins against Kansas City and 2 losses. Minnesota wins 6 additional games against Kansas City and loses 0. Minnesota wins the series 11 games to 2 Chicago wins 37 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0. Cleveland wins 32 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0. Detroit wins 24 games agains teams outside the division and loses 15. Kansas City wins 29 games agains teams outside the division and loses 3. Minnesota wins 36 games agains teams outside the division and loses 1. Combining the current standings with the wins and losses from the scenario results in the final standings listed above. # Minnesota Twins' magic number # Minnesota's magic number # Twins' magic number # MLB Playoff Race