Minnesota Twins First-Place Elimination Scenario
Minnesota must win 19 more games (46 total) to avoid elimination from first place.
Here are the final standings in a scenario in which Minnesota finishes in first place with 46 wins:

Team             W	L	PCT	GB
Minnesota        46	116	0.284	0.00
Kansas City      46	116	0.284	0.00
Chicago          45	117	0.278	1.00
Cleveland        45	117	0.278	1.00
Detroit          45	117	0.278	1.00

Tie breakers
Minnesota wins the series with Kansas City 7 games to 6

To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division:
Team             W	L	GL	PCT	GB
Cleveland        34	26	102	0.567	0.0
Chicago          31	27	104	0.534	2.0
Minnesota        27	32	103	0.458	6.5
Kansas City      22	36	104	0.379	11.0
Detroit          22	37	103	0.373	11.5

Next, we show how the remaining series of games plays out in the scenario:

Chicago currently has 0 win(s) against Cleveland and 0 loss(es).
Chicago wins 5 additional game(s) against Cleveland and loses 8.
Chicago loses the series 5 games to 8.
Chicago wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 65.

Chicago currently has 2 win(s) against Detroit and 0 loss(es).
Chicago wins 6 additional game(s) against Detroit and loses 5.
Chicago wins the series 8 games to 5.
Chicago wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 65.

Chicago currently has 5 win(s) against Kansas City and 2 loss(es).
Chicago wins 0 additional game(s) against Kansas City and loses 6.
Chicago loses the series 5 games to 8.
Chicago wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 65.

Chicago currently has 3 win(s) against Minnesota and 1 loss(es).
Chicago wins 3 additional game(s) against Minnesota and loses 6.
Chicago loses the series 6 games to 7.
Chicago wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 65.

Cleveland currently has 4 win(s) against Detroit and 0 loss(es).
Cleveland wins 0 additional game(s) against Detroit and loses 9.
Cleveland loses the series 4 games to 9.
Cleveland wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 64.

Cleveland currently has 4 win(s) against Kansas City and 3 loss(es).
Cleveland wins 0 additional game(s) against Kansas City and loses 6.
Cleveland loses the series 4 games to 9.
Cleveland wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 64.

Cleveland currently has 1 win(s) against Minnesota and 2 loss(es).
Cleveland wins 3 additional game(s) against Minnesota and loses 7.
Cleveland loses the series 4 games to 9.
Cleveland wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 64.

Detroit currently has 4 win(s) against Kansas City and 2 loss(es).
Detroit wins 0 additional game(s) against Kansas City and loses 7.
Detroit loses the series 4 games to 9.
Detroit wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 67.

Detroit currently has 0 win(s) against Minnesota and 4 loss(es).
Detroit wins 9 additional game(s) against Minnesota and loses 0.
Detroit wins the series 9 games to 4.
Detroit wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 67.

Kansas City currently has 2 win(s) against Minnesota and 1 loss(es).
Kansas City wins 4 additional game(s) against Minnesota and loses 6.
Kansas City loses the series 6 games to 7.
Kansas City wins 1 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 74.

# Minnesota Twins' magic number
# Minnesota's magic number
# Twins' magic number
# MLB Playoff Race