New York Mets First-Place Eliminiation Scenario
New York must win 24 more games (36 total) to avoid elimination from first place.
Here are the final standings in a scenario in which New York finishes in first place with 36 wins:

Team             W	L	PCT	GB
New York         36	126	0.222	0.00
Miami            35	127	0.216	1.00
Washington       35	127	0.216	1.00
Atlanta          35	127	0.216	1.00
Philadelphia     35	127	0.216	1.00

To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division:
Team             W	L	GL	PCT	GB
Atlanta          16	6	140	0.727	0.0
Philadelphia     15	9	138	0.625	2.0
New York         12	11	139	0.522	4.5
Washington       10	12	140	0.455	6.0
Miami            6	19	137	0.240	11.5

Next, we show how the remaining series of games plays out in the scenario:

Atlanta currently has 4 win(s) against Miami and 1 loss(es).
Atlanta wins 8 additional game(s) against Miami and loses 0.
Atlanta wins the series 12 games to 1.
Atlanta wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 99.

Atlanta currently has 1 win(s) against New York and 2 loss(es).
Atlanta wins 5 additional game(s) against New York and loses 5.
Atlanta loses the series 6 games to 7.
Atlanta wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 99.

Atlanta currently has 2 win(s) against Philadelphia and 1 loss(es).
Atlanta wins 1 additional game(s) against Philadelphia and loses 9.
Atlanta loses the series 3 games to 10.
Atlanta wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 99.

Atlanta currently has 0 win(s) against Washington and 0 loss(es).
Atlanta wins 5 additional game(s) against Washington and loses 8.
Atlanta loses the series 5 games to 8.
Atlanta wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 99.

Miami currently has 0 win(s) against New York and 0 loss(es).
Miami wins 7 additional game(s) against New York and loses 6.
Miami wins the series 7 games to 6.
Miami wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 90.

Miami currently has 0 win(s) against Philadelphia and 0 loss(es).
Miami wins 9 additional game(s) against Philadelphia and loses 4.
Miami wins the series 9 games to 4.
Miami wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 90.

Miami currently has 0 win(s) against Washington and 0 loss(es).
Miami wins 13 additional game(s) against Washington and loses 0.
Miami wins the series 13 games to 0.
Miami wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 90.

New York currently has 0 win(s) against Philadelphia and 0 loss(es).
New York wins 6 additional game(s) against Philadelphia and loses 7.
New York loses the series 6 games to 7.
New York wins 1 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 89.

New York currently has 0 win(s) against Washington and 0 loss(es).
New York wins 6 additional game(s) against Washington and loses 7.
New York loses the series 6 games to 7.
New York wins 1 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 89.

Philadelphia currently has 2 win(s) against Washington and 1 loss(es).
Philadelphia wins 0 additional game(s) against Washington and loses 10.
Philadelphia loses the series 2 games to 11.
Philadelphia wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 92.

# New York Mets' magic number
# New York's magic number
# Mets' magic number
# MLB Playoff Race