New York Yankees First-Place Eliminiation Scenario
New York must win 14 more games (44 total) to avoid elimination from first place.
Here are the final standings in a scenario in which New York finishes in first place with 44 wins:

Team             W	L	PCT	GB
New York         44	118	0.272	0.00
Baltimore        43	119	0.265	1.00
Tampa Bay        43	119	0.265	1.00
Toronto          43	119	0.265	1.00
Boston           43	119	0.265	1.00

To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division:
Team             W	L	GL	PCT	GB
New York         30	20	112	0.600	0.0
Boston           26	26	110	0.500	5.0
Toronto          25	25	112	0.500	5.0
Tampa Bay        24	26	112	0.480	6.0
Baltimore        16	33	113	0.327	13.5

Next, we show how the remaining series of games plays out in the scenario:

Baltimore currently has 1 win(s) against Boston and 3 loss(es).
Baltimore wins 9 additional game(s) against Boston and loses 0.
Baltimore wins the series 10 games to 3.
Baltimore wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 74.

Baltimore currently has 2 win(s) against New York and 1 loss(es).
Baltimore wins 4 additional game(s) against New York and loses 6.
Baltimore loses the series 6 games to 7.
Baltimore wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 74.

Baltimore currently has 0 win(s) against Tampa Bay and 0 loss(es).
Baltimore wins 12 additional game(s) against Tampa Bay and loses 1.
Baltimore wins the series 12 games to 1.
Baltimore wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 74.

Baltimore currently has 3 win(s) against Toronto and 3 loss(es).
Baltimore wins 2 additional game(s) against Toronto and loses 5.
Baltimore loses the series 5 games to 8.
Baltimore wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 74.

Boston currently has 0 win(s) against New York and 0 loss(es).
Boston wins 13 additional game(s) against New York and loses 0.
Boston wins the series 13 games to 0.
Boston wins 1 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 71.

Boston currently has 2 win(s) against Tampa Bay and 1 loss(es).
Boston wins 0 additional game(s) against Tampa Bay and loses 10.
Boston loses the series 2 games to 11.
Boston wins 1 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 71.

Boston currently has 2 win(s) against Toronto and 5 loss(es).
Boston wins 3 additional game(s) against Toronto and loses 3.
Boston loses the series 5 games to 8.
Boston wins 1 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 71.

New York currently has 4 win(s) against Tampa Bay and 3 loss(es).
New York wins 2 additional game(s) against Tampa Bay and loses 4.
New York loses the series 6 games to 7.
New York wins 1 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 72.

New York currently has 2 win(s) against Toronto and 1 loss(es).
New York wins 5 additional game(s) against Toronto and loses 5.
New York wins the series 7 games to 6.
New York wins 1 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 72.

Tampa Bay currently has 3 win(s) against Toronto and 1 loss(es).
Tampa Bay wins 4 additional game(s) against Toronto and loses 5.
Tampa Bay wins the series 7 games to 6.
Tampa Bay wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 74.

# New York Yankees' magic number
# New York's magic number
# Yankees' magic number
# MLB Playoff Race