Philadelphia Phillies First-Place Eliminiation Scenario
Philadelphia must win 22 more games (35 total) to avoid elimination from first place.
Here are the final standings in a scenario in which Philadelphia finishes in first place with 35 wins:

Team             W	L	PCT	GB
Philadelphia     35	127	0.216	0.00
Atlanta          34	128	0.210	1.00
Miami            34	128	0.210	1.00
New York         34	128	0.210	1.00
Washington       34	128	0.210	1.00

To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division:
Team             W	L	GL	PCT	GB
New York         18	7	137	0.720	0.0
Philadelphia     13	12	137	0.520	5.0
Miami            11	13	138	0.458	6.5
Washington       11	13	138	0.458	6.5
Atlanta          10	14	138	0.417	7.5

Next, we show how the remaining series of games plays out in the scenario:

Atlanta currently has 1 win(s) against Miami and 1 loss(es).
Atlanta wins 0 additional game(s) against Miami and loses 11.
Atlanta loses the series 1 games to 12.
Atlanta wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 91.

Atlanta currently has 0 win(s) against New York and 0 loss(es).
Atlanta wins 13 additional game(s) against New York and loses 0.
Atlanta wins the series 13 games to 0.
Atlanta wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 91.

Atlanta currently has 2 win(s) against Philadelphia and 1 loss(es).
Atlanta wins 4 additional game(s) against Philadelphia and loses 6.
Atlanta loses the series 6 games to 7.
Atlanta wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 91.

Atlanta currently has 0 win(s) against Washington and 0 loss(es).
Atlanta wins 7 additional game(s) against Washington and loses 6.
Atlanta wins the series 7 games to 6.
Atlanta wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 91.

Miami currently has 2 win(s) against New York and 4 loss(es).
Miami wins 0 additional game(s) against New York and loses 7.
Miami loses the series 2 games to 11.
Miami wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 100.

Miami currently has 1 win(s) against Philadelphia and 2 loss(es).
Miami wins 5 additional game(s) against Philadelphia and loses 5.
Miami loses the series 6 games to 7.
Miami wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 100.

Miami currently has 2 win(s) against Washington and 1 loss(es).
Miami wins 7 additional game(s) against Washington and loses 3.
Miami wins the series 9 games to 4.
Miami wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 100.

New York currently has 3 win(s) against Philadelphia and 0 loss(es).
New York wins 5 additional game(s) against Philadelphia and loses 5.
New York wins the series 8 games to 5.
New York wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 94.

New York currently has 0 win(s) against Washington and 0 loss(es).
New York wins 4 additional game(s) against Washington and loses 9.
New York loses the series 4 games to 9.
New York wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 94.

Philadelphia currently has 2 win(s) against Washington and 1 loss(es).
Philadelphia wins 5 additional game(s) against Washington and loses 5.
Philadelphia wins the series 7 games to 6.
Philadelphia wins 1 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 96.

# Philadelphia Phillies' magic number
# Philadelphia's magic number
# Phillies' magic number
# MLB Playoff Race