Philadelphia Phillies First-Place Eliminiation Scenario
Philadelphia must win 6 more games (60 total) to avoid elimination from first place.
Here are the final standings in a scenario in which Philadelphia finishes in first place with 60 wins:

Team             W	L	PCT	GB
Philadelphia     60	102	0.370	0.00
Miami            60	102	0.370	0.00
New York         59	103	0.364	1.00
Washington       58	104	0.358	2.00
Atlanta          58	104	0.358	2.00

Tie breakers
Philadelphia wins the series with Miami 7 games to 6

To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division:
Team             W	L	GL	PCT	GB
Philadelphia     54	40	68	0.574	0.0
New York         54	41	67	0.568	0.5
Miami            42	51	69	0.452	11.5
Atlanta          41	52	69	0.441	12.5
Washington       38	56	68	0.404	16.0

Next, we show how the remaining series of games plays out in the scenario:

Atlanta currently has 2 win(s) against Miami and 3 loss(es).
Atlanta wins 4 additional game(s) against Miami and loses 4.
Atlanta loses the series 6 games to 7.
Atlanta wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 44.

Atlanta currently has 5 win(s) against New York and 2 loss(es).
Atlanta wins 6 additional game(s) against New York and loses 0.
Atlanta wins the series 11 games to 2.
Atlanta wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 44.

Atlanta currently has 4 win(s) against Philadelphia and 5 loss(es).
Atlanta wins 4 additional game(s) against Philadelphia and loses 0.
Atlanta wins the series 8 games to 5.
Atlanta wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 44.

Atlanta currently has 3 win(s) against Washington and 3 loss(es).
Atlanta wins 3 additional game(s) against Washington and loses 4.
Atlanta loses the series 6 games to 7.
Atlanta wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 44.

Miami currently has 2 win(s) against New York and 4 loss(es).
Miami wins 6 additional game(s) against New York and loses 1.
Miami wins the series 8 games to 5.
Miami wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 41.

Miami currently has 2 win(s) against Philadelphia and 5 loss(es).
Miami wins 4 additional game(s) against Philadelphia and loses 2.
Miami loses the series 6 games to 7.
Miami wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 41.

Miami currently has 5 win(s) against Washington and 1 loss(es).
Miami wins 4 additional game(s) against Washington and loses 3.
Miami wins the series 9 games to 4.
Miami wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 41.

New York currently has 4 win(s) against Philadelphia and 2 loss(es).
New York wins 4 additional game(s) against Philadelphia and loses 3.
New York wins the series 8 games to 5.
New York wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 41.

New York currently has 5 win(s) against Washington and 2 loss(es).
New York wins 0 additional game(s) against Washington and loses 6.
New York loses the series 5 games to 8.
New York wins 0 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 41.

Philadelphia currently has 4 win(s) against Washington and 2 loss(es).
Philadelphia wins 0 additional game(s) against Washington and loses 7.
Philadelphia loses the series 4 games to 9.
Philadelphia wins 1 additional game(s) against teams outside the division and loses 43.

# Philadelphia Phillies' magic number
# Philadelphia's magic number
# Phillies' magic number
# MLB Playoff Race