Pittsburgh Pirates First-Place Clinch Scenario

Pittsburgh does not have a first-place clinch number

Here is a scenario in which Pittsburgh wins all 73 of their remaining games (111 total) but does not but does not clinch first place.

Team             W	L	PCT	GB
Chicago          118	44	0.728	0.00
Pittsburgh       111	51	0.685	7.00
Cincinnati       85	77	0.525	33.00
Milwaukee        73	89	0.451	45.00
St. Louis        50	112	0.309	68.00

To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division:
Team             W	L	GL	PCT	GB
Chicago          53	35	74	0.602	0.0
Milwaukee        49	39	74	0.557	4.0
Cincinnati       46	41	75	0.529	6.5
St. Louis        47	42	73	0.528	6.5
Pittsburgh       38	51	73	0.427	15.5

Next, we show how the remaining series of games in the division play out in the scenario:


Chicago currently has 4 wins against Cincinnati and 2 losses.
  Chicago wins 7 additional games against Cincinnati and loses 0.
  Chicago wins the series 11 games to 2

Chicago currently has 3 wins against Milwaukee and 2 losses.
  Chicago wins 8 additional games against Milwaukee and loses 0.
  Chicago wins the series 11 games to 2

Chicago currently has 3 wins against St. Louis and 2 losses.
  Chicago wins 8 additional games against St. Louis and loses 0.
  Chicago wins the series 11 games to 2

Cincinnati currently has 2 wins against Milwaukee and 5 losses.
  Cincinnati wins 6 additional games against Milwaukee and loses 0.
  Cincinnati wins the series 8 games to 5

Cincinnati currently has 3 wins against St. Louis and 4 losses.
  Cincinnati wins 6 additional games against St. Louis and loses 0.
  Cincinnati wins the series 9 games to 4

Milwaukee currently has 4 wins against St. Louis and 3 losses.
  Milwaukee wins 6 additional games against St. Louis and loses 0.
  Milwaukee wins the series 10 games to 3

Pittsburgh currently has 2 wins against Chicago and 5 losses.
  Pittsburgh wins 6 additional games against Chicago and loses 0.
  Pittsburgh wins the series 8 games to 5

Pittsburgh currently has 2 wins against Cincinnati and 4 losses.
  Pittsburgh wins 7 additional games against Cincinnati and loses 0.
  Pittsburgh wins the series 9 games to 4

Pittsburgh currently has 3 wins against Milwaukee and 4 losses.
  Pittsburgh wins 6 additional games against Milwaukee and loses 0.
  Pittsburgh wins the series 9 games to 4

Pittsburgh currently has 5 wins against St. Louis and 4 losses.
  Pittsburgh wins 4 additional games against St. Louis and loses 0.
  Pittsburgh wins the series 9 games to 4

Chicago wins 42 games agains teams outside the division and loses 3.
Cincinnati wins 27 games agains teams outside the division and loses 22.
Milwaukee wins 18 games agains teams outside the division and loses 30.
Pittsburgh wins 50 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0.
St. Louis wins 3 games agains teams outside the division and loses 46.

Combining the current standings with the wins and losses from the scenario results in the final standings listed above.
# Pittsburgh Pirates' magic number
# Pittsburgh's magic number
# Pirates' magic number
# MLB Playoff Race