San Diego Padres First-Place Clinch Scenario

San Diego's traditional magic number (relative to first-place San Francisco) is 66 + 57 - 61 + 1 = 63.
San Diego's first-place clinch number is 54.

If San Diego wins 54 more games, their final win total will be at least 115.
The table below shows the best case scenario for each of the other teams if San Diego wins all 54 of their remaining games.
For each team, the table shows the current record (number of wins (W) and losses (L)) and the number of games that team has
left to play (GL) in the regular season. Taking the schedule of games left to play into account, the 'Losses to SanDiego' column gives the
minimum number of games that each team will lose to SanDiego if SanDiego wins 54 more games. Assuming that a team wins all of its remaining games except for
the games it loses to SanDiego, the resulting maximum number of wins and maximum winning percentage are shown in the 'Maximum W' column.

Team             W	L	GL	Losses to SanDiego	Maximum W
San Francisco    66	39	57	     10 - 0 = 10	113
Los Angeles      64	43	55	       9 - 0 = 9	110
Colorado         46	60	56	       3 - 0 = 3	99
Arizona          33	73	56	     10 - 0 = 10	79

The table above shows that if San Diego wins 54 more games (115 total), then they will finish the season in first place in the division.

To see that San Diego's first-place clinch number cannot be less than 54, consider the following scenario in which SanDiego wins 53 more games (114 total) but does not finish in first place.

To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division:
Team             W	L	GL	PCT	GB
San Francisco    66	39	57	0.629	0.0
Los Angeles      64	43	55	0.598	3.0
San Diego        61	47	54	0.565	6.5
Colorado         46	60	56	0.434	20.5
Arizona          33	73	56	0.311	33.5

Next, we show how the remaining series of games in San Diego's division plays out in the scenario:

Arizona wins 6 games against Colorado and loses 0.
Arizona wins 5 games against Los Angeles and loses 1.
Arizona wins 0 games against San Diego and loses 10.
Arizona wins 0 games against San Francisco and loses 9.
Arizona wins 25 games against teams outside the division and loses 0.

Colorado wins 0 games against Arizona and loses 6.
Colorado wins 0 games against Los Angeles and loses 6.
Colorado wins 0 games against San Diego and loses 3.
Colorado wins 0 games against San Francisco and loses 10.
Colorado wins 31 games against teams outside the division and loses 0.

Los Angeles wins 1 games against Arizona and loses 5.
Los Angeles wins 6 games against Colorado and loses 0.
Los Angeles wins 0 games against San Diego and loses 9.
Los Angeles wins 0 games against San Francisco and loses 3.
Los Angeles wins 31 games against teams outside the division and loses 0.

San Diego wins 10 games against Arizona and loses 0.
San Diego wins 3 games against Colorado and loses 0.
San Diego wins 9 games against Los Angeles and loses 0.
San Diego wins 9 games against San Francisco and loses 1.
San Diego wins 22 games against teams outside the division and loses 0.

San Francisco wins 9 games against Arizona and loses 0.
San Francisco wins 10 games against Colorado and loses 0.
San Francisco wins 3 games against Los Angeles and loses 0.
San Francisco wins 1 games against San Diego and loses 9.
San Francisco wins 25 games against teams outside the division and loses 0.

Combining the current standings with the wins and losses from the scenario results in the following final standings:
TEAM             W	L	GL	PCT
San Diego        114	48	0.704	0.0
San Francisco    114	48	0.704	0.0
Los Angeles      102	60	0.630	12.0
Colorado         77	85	0.475	37.0
Arizona          69	93	0.426	45.0

# San Diego Padres's magic number
# San Diego's magic number
# Padres's magic number
# MLB Playoff Race