SanDiego Padres First-Place Clinch Scenario

SanDiego does not have a first-place clinch number

Here is a scenario in which SanDiego wins all 76 of their remaining games (119 total) but does not but does not clinch first place.

Team             W	L	PCT	GB
LADodgers        120	42	0.741	0.00
SanDiego         119	43	0.735	1.00
Arizona          76	86	0.469	44.00
Colorado         70	92	0.432	50.00
SanFrancisco     54	108	0.333	66.00

To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division:
Team             W	L	GL	PCT	GB
LADodgers        57	31	74	0.648	0.0
Arizona          43	43	76	0.500	13.0
SanDiego         43	43	76	0.500	13.0
SanFrancisco     36	50	76	0.419	20.0
Colorado         35	53	74	0.398	22.0

Next, we show how the remaining series of games in the division play out in the scenario:


Arizona currently has 5 wins against Colorado and 2 losses.
  Arizona wins 4 additional games against Colorado and loses 2.
  Arizona wins the series 9 games to 4

Arizona currently has 8 wins against SanFrancisco and 1 losses.
  Arizona wins 4 additional games against SanFrancisco and loses 0.
  Arizona wins the series 12 games to 1

LADodgers currently has 5 wins against Arizona and 2 losses.
  LADodgers wins 4 additional games against Arizona and loses 2.
  LADodgers wins the series 9 games to 4

LADodgers currently has 5 wins against Colorado and 2 losses.
  LADodgers wins 6 additional games against Colorado and loses 0.
  LADodgers wins the series 11 games to 2

LADodgers currently has 3 wins against SanFrancisco and 4 losses.
  LADodgers wins 6 additional games against SanFrancisco and loses 0.
  LADodgers wins the series 9 games to 4

SanDiego currently has 1 wins against Arizona and 1 losses.
  SanDiego wins 11 additional games against Arizona and loses 0.
  SanDiego wins the series 12 games to 1

SanDiego currently has 6 wins against Colorado and 1 losses.
  SanDiego wins 6 additional games against Colorado and loses 0.
  SanDiego wins the series 12 games to 1

SanDiego currently has 2 wins against LADodgers and 5 losses.
  SanDiego wins 6 additional games against LADodgers and loses 0.
  SanDiego wins the series 8 games to 5

SanDiego currently has 3 wins against SanFrancisco and 3 losses.
  SanDiego wins 7 additional games against SanFrancisco and loses 0.
  SanDiego wins the series 10 games to 3

SanFrancisco currently has 1 wins against Colorado and 2 losses.
  SanFrancisco wins 10 additional games against Colorado and loses 0.
  SanFrancisco wins the series 11 games to 2

Arizona wins 23 games agains teams outside the division and loses 26.
Colorado wins 33 games agains teams outside the division and loses 13.
LADodgers wins 47 games agains teams outside the division and loses 3.
SanDiego wins 46 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0.
SanFrancisco wins 8 games agains teams outside the division and loses 41.

Combining the current standings with the wins and losses from the scenario results in the final standings listed above.
# SanDiego Padres' magic number
# SanDiego's magic number
# Padres' magic number
# MLB Playoff Race