San Diego Padres First-Place Clinch Scenario San Diego's traditional magic number (relative to first-place Los Angeles) is 12 + 141 - 11 + 1 = 143. San Diego's first-place clinch number is 138. San Diego must win 138 more games (149 total) to clinch first place. If San Diego wins 138 more games, their final win total will be at least 149. The table below shows the best case scenario for each of the other teams if San Diego wins 138 of their remaining 141 games and loses the other 3. For each team, the table shows the current record (number of wins (W) and losses (L)) and the number of games that team has left to play (GL) in the regular season. Taking the schedule of games left to play into account, the 'Losses to San Diego' column gives the minimum number of games that each team will lose to San Diego if San Diego wins 138 more games. Assuming that a team wins all of its remaining games except for the games it loses to SanDiego, the resulting maximum number of wins is shown in the 'Maximum W' column. Team W L GL Losses to San Diego Maximum W Los Angeles 12 9 141 8 - 3 = 5 148 San Francisco 9 11 142 6 - 3 = 3 148 Arizona 9 11 142 13 - 3 = 10 141 Colorado 4 15 143 13 - 3 = 10 137 The table above shows that if San Diego wins 138 more games (149 total), then they will finish the season in first place in the division. To see that San Diego's first-place clinch number cannot be less than 138, consider the following scenario in which San Diego wins 137 more games (148 total) but does not finish in first place: Team W L PCT GB San Francisco 148 14 0.914 0.00 San Diego 148 14 0.914 0.00 Los Angeles 78 84 0.481 70.00 Arizona 77 85 0.475 71.00 Colorado 68 94 0.420 80.00 Tie breakers San Francisco wins the season series with San Diego 7 games to 6. To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division: Team W L GL PCT GB Los Angeles 12 9 141 0.571 0.0 San Diego 11 10 141 0.524 1.0 Arizona 9 11 142 0.450 2.5 San Francisco 9 11 142 0.450 2.5 Colorado 4 15 143 0.211 7.0 Next, we show how the remaining series of games in the division play out in the scenario: Colorado currently has 2 wins against Arizona and 5 losses. Colorado wins 5 additional games against Arizona and loses 1. Colorado wins the series 7 games to 6 Los Angeles currently has 0 wins against Arizona and 0 losses. Los Angeles wins 13 additional games against Arizona and loses 0. Los Angeles wins the series 13 games to 0 Los Angeles currently has 0 wins against Colorado and 0 losses. Los Angeles wins 11 additional games against Colorado and loses 2. Los Angeles wins the series 11 games to 2 San Diego currently has 0 wins against Arizona and 0 losses. San Diego wins 12 additional games against Arizona and loses 1. San Diego wins the series 12 games to 1 San Diego currently has 0 wins against Colorado and 0 losses. San Diego wins 13 additional games against Colorado and loses 0. San Diego wins the series 13 games to 0 San Diego currently has 3 wins against Los Angeles and 2 losses. San Diego wins 8 additional games against Los Angeles and loses 0. San Diego wins the series 11 games to 2 San Francisco currently has 1 wins against Arizona and 0 losses. San Francisco wins 12 additional games against Arizona and loses 0. San Francisco wins the series 13 games to 0 San Francisco currently has 0 wins against Colorado and 0 losses. San Francisco wins 13 additional games against Colorado and loses 0. San Francisco wins the series 13 games to 0 San Francisco currently has 0 wins against Los Angeles and 3 losses. San Francisco wins 10 additional games against Los Angeles and loses 0. San Francisco wins the series 10 games to 3 San Francisco currently has 4 wins against San Diego and 3 losses. San Francisco wins 3 additional games against San Diego and loses 3. San Francisco wins the series 7 games to 6 Arizona wins 66 games agains teams outside the division and loses 32. Colorado wins 57 games agains teams outside the division and loses 41. Los Angeles wins 42 games agains teams outside the division and loses 55. San Diego wins 101 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0. San Francisco wins 101 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0. Combining the current standings with the wins and losses from the scenario results in the final standings listed above. # San Diego Padres' magic number # San Diego's magic number # Padres' magic number # MLB Playoff Race