Seattle Mariners First-Place Clinch Scenario Seattle's traditional magic number (relative to second-place Houston) is 57 + 50 - 59 + 1 = 49. Seattle's first-place clinch number is 47. Seattle must win 47 more games (106 total) to clinch first place. If Seattle wins 47 more games, their final win total will be at least 106. The table below shows the best case scenario for each of the other teams if Seattle wins 47 of their remaining 49 games and loses the other 2. For each team, the table shows the current record (number of wins (W) and losses (L)) and the number of games that team has left to play (GL) in the regular season. Taking the schedule of games left to play into account, the 'Losses to Seattle' column gives the minimum number of games that each team will lose to Seattle if Seattle wins 47 more games. Assuming that a team wins all of its remaining games except for the games it loses to Seattle, the resulting maximum number of wins is shown in the 'Maximum W' column. Team W L GL Losses to Seattle Maximum W Houston 57 55 50 3 - 2 = 1 106 *See tie-breaking notes below. Los Angeles 49 63 50 3 - 2 = 1 98 Texas 54 59 49 7 - 2 = 5 98 Oakland 47 67 48 7 - 2 = 5 90 Tie-breakers: Seattle has won 6 game(s) against Houston and lost 4. There are 3 games left in the series. In the scenario above, Seattle wins 6 + 1 = 7 games against Houston and loses 4 + 2 = 6. The table above shows that if Seattle wins 47 more games (106 total), then they will finish the season in first place in the division. To see that Seattle's first-place clinch number cannot be less than 47, consider the following scenario in which Seattle wins 46 more games (105 total) but does not finish in first place: Team W L PCT GB Houston 107 55 0.660 0.00 Seattle 105 57 0.648 2.00 Los Angeles 72 90 0.444 35.00 Oakland 63 99 0.389 44.00 Texas 57 105 0.352 50.00 To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division: Team W L GL PCT GB Seattle 59 54 49 0.522 0.0 Houston 57 55 50 0.509 1.5 Texas 54 59 49 0.478 5.0 Los Angeles 49 63 50 0.438 9.5 Oakland 47 67 48 0.412 12.5 Next, we show how the remaining series of games in the division play out in the scenario: Oakland has won the season series with Los Angeles 8 games to 5. Houston currently has 3 wins against Los Angeles and 3 losses. Houston wins 7 additional games against Los Angeles and loses 0. Houston wins the series 10 games to 3 Houston currently has 7 wins against Oakland and 3 losses. Houston wins 3 additional games against Oakland and loses 0. Houston wins the series 10 games to 3 Houston currently has 4 wins against Seattle and 6 losses. Houston wins 3 additional games against Seattle and loses 0. Houston wins the series 7 games to 6 Houston currently has 5 wins against Texas and 6 losses. Houston wins 2 additional games against Texas and loses 0. Houston wins the series 7 games to 6 Los Angeles currently has 3 wins against Texas and 3 losses. Los Angeles wins 7 additional games against Texas and loses 0. Los Angeles wins the series 10 games to 3 Oakland currently has 3 wins against Texas and 4 losses. Oakland wins 6 additional games against Texas and loses 0. Oakland wins the series 9 games to 4 Seattle currently has 4 wins against Los Angeles and 6 losses. Seattle wins 3 additional games against Los Angeles and loses 0. Seattle wins the series 7 games to 6 Seattle currently has 4 wins against Oakland and 2 losses. Seattle wins 7 additional games against Oakland and loses 0. Seattle wins the series 11 games to 2 Seattle currently has 5 wins against Texas and 1 losses. Seattle wins 7 additional games against Texas and loses 0. Seattle wins the series 12 games to 1 Houston wins 35 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0. Los Angeles wins 16 games agains teams outside the division and loses 17. Oakland wins 10 games agains teams outside the division and loses 22. Seattle wins 29 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0. Texas wins 3 games agains teams outside the division and loses 24. Combining the current standings with the wins and losses from the scenario results in the final standings listed above. # Seattle Mariners' magic number # Seattle's magic number # Mariners' magic number # MLB Playoff Race