Washington Nationals First-Place Clinch Scenario Washington's traditional magic number (relative to first-place Atlanta) is 12 + 145 - 8 + 1 = 150. Washington's first-place clinch number is 140. Washington must win 140 more games (148 total) to clinch first place. If Washington wins 140 more games, their final win total will be at least 148. The table below shows the best case scenario for each of the other teams if Washington wins 140 of their remaining 144 games and loses the other 4. For each team, the table shows the current record (number of wins (W) and losses (L)) and the number of games that team has left to play (GL) in the regular season. Taking the schedule of games left to play into account, the 'Losses to Washington' column gives the minimum number of games that each team will lose to Washington if Washington wins 140 more games. Assuming that a team wins all of its remaining games except for the games it loses to Washington, the resulting maximum number of wins is shown in the 'Maximum W' column. Team W L GL Losses to Washington Maximum W Atlanta 12 5 145 13 - 4 = 9 148 *See tie-breaking notes below. Philadelphia 11 8 143 10 - 4 = 6 148 *See tie-breaking notes below. New York 10 8 144 13 - 4 = 9 145 Miami 4 15 143 13 - 4 = 9 138 Tie-breakers: Washington has won 0 game(s) against Atlanta and lost 0. There are 13 games left in the series. In the scenario above, Washington wins 0 + 9 = 9 games against Atlanta and loses 0 + 4 = 4. Washington has won 1 game(s) against Philadelphia and lost 2. There are 10 games left in the series. In the scenario above, Washington wins 1 + 6 = 7 games against Philadelphia and loses 2 + 4 = 6. The table above shows that if Washington wins 140 more games (148 total), then they will finish the season in first place in the division. To see that Washington's first-place clinch number cannot be less than 140, consider the following scenario in which Washington wins 139 more games (147 total) but does not finish in first place: Team W L PCT GB Atlanta 149 13 0.920 0.00 Washington 147 15 0.907 2.00 Miami 57 105 0.352 92.00 New York 49 113 0.302 100.00 Philadelphia 36 126 0.222 113.00 To construct the scenario, we start with the current standings in the division: Team W L GL PCT GB Atlanta 12 5 145 0.706 0.0 Philadelphia 11 8 143 0.579 2.0 New York 10 8 144 0.556 2.5 Washington 8 10 144 0.444 4.5 Miami 4 15 143 0.211 9.0 Next, we show how the remaining series of games in the division play out in the scenario: Atlanta currently has 2 wins against Miami and 1 losses. Atlanta wins 10 additional games against Miami and loses 0. Atlanta wins the series 12 games to 1 Atlanta currently has 1 wins against New York and 2 losses. Atlanta wins 10 additional games against New York and loses 0. Atlanta wins the series 11 games to 2 Atlanta currently has 2 wins against Philadelphia and 1 losses. Atlanta wins 10 additional games against Philadelphia and loses 0. Atlanta wins the series 12 games to 1 Miami currently has 0 wins against New York and 0 losses. Miami wins 13 additional games against New York and loses 0. Miami wins the series 13 games to 0 Miami currently has 0 wins against Philadelphia and 0 losses. Miami wins 13 additional games against Philadelphia and loses 0. Miami wins the series 13 games to 0 New York currently has 0 wins against Philadelphia and 0 losses. New York wins 13 additional games against Philadelphia and loses 0. New York wins the series 13 games to 0 Washington currently has 0 wins against Atlanta and 0 losses. Washington wins 8 additional games against Atlanta and loses 5. Washington wins the series 8 games to 5 Washington currently has 0 wins against Miami and 0 losses. Washington wins 13 additional games against Miami and loses 0. Washington wins the series 13 games to 0 Washington currently has 0 wins against New York and 0 losses. Washington wins 13 additional games against New York and loses 0. Washington wins the series 13 games to 0 Washington currently has 1 wins against Philadelphia and 2 losses. Washington wins 10 additional games against Philadelphia and loses 0. Washington wins the series 11 games to 2 Atlanta wins 102 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0. Miami wins 27 games agains teams outside the division and loses 67. New York wins 26 games agains teams outside the division and loses 69. Philadelphia wins 25 games agains teams outside the division and loses 72. Washington wins 95 games agains teams outside the division and loses 0. Combining the current standings with the wins and losses from the scenario results in the final standings listed above. # Washington Nationals' magic number # Washington's magic number # Nationals' magic number # MLB Playoff Race